Brexit and Trade: It’s even more complicated than we thought.
Click below to read @aglawfoodie’s interview on #Brexit and trade.https://t.co/qWGUbc3v3a pic.twitter.com/FoVBII1BB8
— EAAL Committee (@SeneddEAAL) April 2, 2019
Welcome to the #Brexit time loop https://t.co/RbJQKPkWrZ
— CER (@CER_EU) April 5, 2019
“In sum, #Brexit has not been an economic success so far. There is no hope that it will be in the future” Read @JohnSpringford analysis of Cost of Brexit in full https://t.co/oPXzac8oB8
— CER (@CER_EU) April 4, 2019
Latest Cost of #Brexit estimate by CER's @JohnSpringford cited in @FT by @martinwolf_ https://t.co/wijcb5gYGH pic.twitter.com/v10eV4QFEG
— CER (@CER_EU) April 4, 2019
An unambiguous message from Ford – very hard to understand how any sensible/responsible policymaker could countenance a no deal #Brexit https://t.co/cRGxBXeWKA
— CER (@CER_EU) April 3, 2019
NB – leaving the EU is just the beginning of a process that will drag on for years – hammering out the details of the future relationship promises to be an even tougher challenge than withdrawal, @SamuelMarcLowe https://t.co/U56ARFXGsC
— CER (@CER_EU) April 2, 2019
A cautionary note for remainers, by @CER_Grant in @guardianopinion (printed in today's paper) – the EU expects a no deal #Brexit because it does not trust British politicians not to screw up https://t.co/Pljjl5d8qI
— CER (@CER_EU) April 2, 2019
The question of what role UK will play in the global trading system cannot be fully settled until it clarifies the depth and scope of its future relationship with the EU, @SamuelMarcLowe writes in @Independent https://t.co/SNnut8uzk9
— CER (@CER_EU) April 1, 2019
Latest CER estimate: the UK economy is 2.5 per cent smaller than it would be if Britain had voted remain. The knock-on hit to the public finances is £19 billion per annum – or £360 million a week.https://t.co/KwlCXDXruE pic.twitter.com/Wk8RkETxcr
— CER (@CER_EU) March 30, 2019
ICYMI check out excellent @BBCRadio4 Briefing Room discussion on Britain’s place in the world after #Brexit with CER’s @SamuelMarcLowe @NgaireWoods @StefanieBolzen & Prof Meg Russell from @ConUnit_UCL chaired by @DAaronovitch https://t.co/EcbQnn3FTG
— CER (@CER_EU) March 29, 2019
Important thread on why EU now sees high chance of no deal #Brexit – fleshes out points @CER_Grant was making a short while ago on @euronews https://t.co/TcEhqukMhZ
— CER (@CER_EU) March 28, 2019
What changes will Britain’s exit unleash in the EU? Could it embolden eurosceptic movements across Europe? Will commitment to climate change waver? Will the EU become less willing to use sanctions? Discuss @SophiaBesch & @CER_IanBond in @CER_EU podcast.https://t.co/A63wdp5xeG
— CER (@CER_EU) March 27, 2019
#Germany is already obstructing all three of those, but thanks for offering to help. https://t.co/aph4mTxwnH
— Christian Odendahl (@COdendahl) April 5, 2019
It's not. The EU, certainly #Germany, will make sure it does not happen — but make no mistake, the EU will force the UK to take part in #EP2019. And UK MPs are responsible enough to accept that. https://t.co/XVV9YvhlTS
— Christian Odendahl (@COdendahl) March 29, 2019
Not much, because Brexit was always about horrible choices. The main mistake was failing to anticipate the Remainer swing to Labour in the 2017 election. https://t.co/IQcbZYGiC4
— John Springford (@JohnSpringford) April 3, 2019
That's the problem. The costs aren't only short-term disruption. They are also long-term, because the economy will be more closed to trade and investment. This will cause big political problems, as I outline in the piece https://t.co/86JkPWZF9H
— John Springford (@JohnSpringford) April 1, 2019
Charles is spot on when it comes to the position in Paris too. Maybe in the end Macron could be forced to accept an extension (if it was linked to a credible plan, with demonstrable majority backing). But it would be through gritted teeth. The goodwill has long gone https://t.co/oJiMCP80DW
— Sophie Pedder (@PedderSophie) April 1, 2019
Nothing like insulting one of the UK’s most consistent allies in the #EU by implying that allowing it to influence UK policy would be too awful to contemplate. https://t.co/Qr4uXPKm6o
— Ian Bond (@CER_IanBond) April 1, 2019
Post Brexit, could the UK run an *effective* independent trade policy while in a customs union with the EU?
Yes, but it’s complicated. And there would be notable constraints. https://t.co/MiNY5H3gtW
— Sam Lowe (@SamuelMarcLowe) March 31, 2019
I wrote a customs union explainer a year or so ago which unlike many of the ones you might read is accurate.https://t.co/86PLKtZFfH
— Sam Lowe (@SamuelMarcLowe) March 31, 2019
Britain would survive no deal – but survival should not be the height of a country’s aspiration, writes @SamuelMarcLowe.https://t.co/LSTRcQgy4s
— New Statesman (@NewStatesman) April 4, 2019
.@Reuters also quoting senior EU source: “Flextension allows for leaving the EU on July 1 as well. Only that they would have to finalise the ratification of the Withdrawal Agreement by then" https://t.co/u0mOHX2jPE
— Open Europe (@OpenEurope) April 5, 2019
If there is long #Brexit extension, it would be possible for UK to hold #EP2019 elections and leave at any point once the deal is approved
– Open Europe's @pietercleppe told @AJEnglish pic.twitter.com/kPHNMDzXE0— Open Europe (@OpenEurope) April 4, 2019
"The EU has made clear it would be willing to tweak the Political Declaration very quickly" – Open Europe's @DomWalsh13 told @BBCNewshour pic.twitter.com/nQJTpEI9Jf
— Open Europe (@OpenEurope) April 2, 2019
https://twitter.com/OpenEurope/status/1113082212143038465
https://twitter.com/OpenEurope/status/1113082210918285317
https://twitter.com/OpenEurope/status/1113082209655799808
https://twitter.com/OpenEurope/status/1113082204480065539
https://twitter.com/OpenEurope/status/1113082196225658881
.@HenryNewman for the @Telegraph: #Brexit presents a profound dilemma for an already-divided Labour Partyhttps://t.co/mCltD04vFZ
— Open Europe (@OpenEurope) April 2, 2019
Hmm. The phrasing of paragraph 1a) is interesting. Refers to the backstop "being superseded" by alternative arrangements. The deal already provides for the backstop being superseded – *in the future*
But the explanatory note suggests "supersede" means "replaced." That won't work https://t.co/oZvwZWyk45
— Dom Walsh (@DomWalsh13) April 3, 2019
Looks like we might be heading for a Customs Union. Read my explainer here on what that would mean compared to the current deal.
Key point: at this stage, a customs union can become a much more likely destination, but it *cannot* be made "permanent".https://t.co/jbHzMI4IDC
— Dom Walsh (@DomWalsh13) April 2, 2019
https://twitter.com/AnnaRNad/status/1113378663054102528
On #skypapers @queenchristina_ and I discussed Indicative Votes with @jonathansamuels
There's a risk MPs chase fantasies, especially since the same withdrawal agreement will underpin any negotiated EU deal
And although we talk a lot about Tory divisions, Labour are split too pic.twitter.com/UlWlQgnbSW
— Henry Newman (@HenryNewman) March 31, 2019
NEW: @theresa_may has written to the @eucopresident asking for an extention to 30 June 2019 (this is the same date she asked for 2 weeks ago and was rejected). @donaldtusk has already said he is recommending extension to March 2020 with early exit option if deal passed early. pic.twitter.com/9DeyQ0R3h8
— Mark Stone (@Stone_SkyNews) April 5, 2019
https://twitter.com/epc_eu/status/1114126376586575873
https://twitter.com/epc_eu/status/1113710053670961152
https://twitter.com/epc_eu/status/1112279115854422017
BBC News – Brexit: EU's Donald Tusk 'suggests 12-month flexible delay' https://t.co/kaFvTbG3Bl At it again. He does not speak for EU leaders on this. A long extension without a UK decision is not in the EU27's interest. Leaders need to take control
— Fabian Zuleeg (@FabianZuleeg) April 5, 2019
@MichelBarnier today @epc_eu https://t.co/3gVTQnxKdP
— Fabian Zuleeg (@FabianZuleeg) April 2, 2019
Here's another suggestion. File it under 'if needed'.
Best of all would be for May and Corbyn and @MichelBarnier to agree on an improved Political Declaration — perhaps as in https://t.co/XSZF7WPqsZ https://t.co/jLlU0TZvpK
— Andrew Duff (@AndrewDuffEU) April 3, 2019
Barnier's @epc_eu speech today.
Small observation: no reference to Ireland, the border issue, or the backstop.https://t.co/8OXnrOPxAN pic.twitter.com/4AJ02ozcc9
— David Phinnemore (@DPhinnemore) April 2, 2019
Michel Barnier @epc_eu emphasized that lessons must be learned as to why the British people voted #Brexit, how the #EU can respond more swiftly to legitimate concerns of members and their citizens, and how young people can be embraced, feel part of the EU and motivated to vote! pic.twitter.com/3pR8KeT7IN
— Guy Miller (@guysiemiller) April 2, 2019
Speaking at the @epc_eu in Brussels this morning, EU chief Brexit negotiator Michel Barnier says the UK has three options left:
1. Accepting Theresa May's stalled deal
2. A damaging no-deal Brexit
3. A long delay to the UK's leaving date pic.twitter.com/Nj0wbL0iwQ— DW Europe (@dw_europe) April 2, 2019
PODCAST | #TheSoundOfEconomics Bruegel senior fellow @ZsoltDarvas joins @GuntramWolff for this Director’s Cut to discuss the economic fall-out of a #NoDealBrexit >> https://t.co/HUKFElnI9Q #Brexit #EUbudget #IrishBorder pic.twitter.com/Snc9oO3opo
— Bruegel (@Bruegel_org) April 4, 2019
'A no-deal #Brexit would be suicidal stupidity' says CEPS' Associate Senior Research Fellow Michael Emerson https://t.co/UTFxYg2pb7 … via @nbcnews
— CEPS ThinkTank (@CEPS_thinktank) April 1, 2019
“Predictions continue that the #EU will implode, explode, or otherwise disappear – but the reverse seems to be happening”- #Brexit actually strengthens the #EuropeanUnion. @ecfr Council Member @CarolineGruyter explains why: https://t.co/PCAJsNBpDE https://t.co/PCAJsNBpDE pic.twitter.com/b6FPaKMplq
— ECFR Berlin (@ECFRBerlin) April 4, 2019
Shadow International Trade Secretary @BarryGardiner on the cross-party Brexit talks #bbcaq
Listen here: https://t.co/SxfJoY2Y7I pic.twitter.com/1UNZW6TWRg
— BBC Politics (@BBCPolitics) April 5, 2019
Questioning Tory MP on post-Brexit trade:
“You are sounding like a member of the ERG, it’s your duty to be probing” Ken Clarke
“No, I am sounding like someone who is trying to get across the facts” #politicslive presenter @afneil https://t.co/JhJY9LBLfI pic.twitter.com/6PcswSkUi5
— BBC Politics (@BBCPolitics) April 4, 2019
Liam Fox: "A customs union a betrayal of Brexit"
International trade secretary says options being supported by Labour, SNP and others in tonight's votes are not "a proper #Brexit" https://t.co/5mAdiYmVE4 pic.twitter.com/GsHNseb8No
— BBC Politics (@BBCPolitics) April 1, 2019
"You cannot betray the 6m people who signed the petition to revoke Article 50, the 1m who marched for a People's Vote, or the increasing majority who want to remain in the EU"
Donald Tusk calls on MEPs to represent the UK's "Europeans"
[tap to expand] https://t.co/r95oFsQ6yJ pic.twitter.com/rfhO0fUOeU
— BBC Politics (@BBCPolitics) March 27, 2019
Is a customs union enough to guarantee frictionless trade after #Brexit? If you can never remember the difference between the customs union and the single market then this is the piece for you.https://t.co/U4oc3JOvmO pic.twitter.com/hlIeLsvwyh
— BBC Reality Check (@BBCRealityCheck) April 4, 2019
Blick Rothenberg partner @altmann_news discusses the risk of German companies pulling investment out of Scotland if post-Brexit trade becomes too difficult https://t.co/P1Ku9cacQ6 via @BBCNews
— Blick Rothenberg (@BlickRothenberg) April 2, 2019
Former International Trade Minister @GregHands sets out why a customs union is a "very bad idea" for the UK. pic.twitter.com/mieXb8gkEg
— BrexitCentral (@BrexitCentral) April 1, 2019
I’ve done a piece for the @Independent today on the growing momentum around a #FinalSay on Brexit and my utter delight at @unisontweets amongst other trade unions coming out in support of it! Please give it a read. https://t.co/Ut6HSSbNHO
— Jamie Dickinson (@jamielewis016) April 4, 2019
"There is no version of Brexit that will benefit science and research." @sarahwollaston's speech to the #RevokeArticle50 petition debate on why it isn't just loss of trade that Brexit threatens us with. #ChangePolitics pic.twitter.com/u0pescWEtq
— The Independent Group (@TheIndGroup) April 2, 2019
Despite the Brexit deadlock, @TheIndGroup's @Anna_Soubry believes there is "huge progress" towards a public vote.
She says her group didn't vote for the Commons Market option because it wouldn't guarantee 'frictionless trade' #r4today | @marthakearney | https://t.co/jQrmkGKSmt pic.twitter.com/QN153YX7nu
— BBC Radio 4 Today (@BBCr4today) April 2, 2019
A customs union post-Brexit really would be the worst of all outcomes. How can it possibly be a good idea for the 5th largest economy on Earth to surrender control of its trade policy to an outside body in which we have no voice?
Me in @Telegraphhttps://t.co/r8X3R9z1RO
— Robert Courts MP (@robertcourts) April 1, 2019
People and businesses are stockpiling food and medicine in case of a no-deal Brexit. Are you stocking anything up for #BrexitDay? pic.twitter.com/c7QLK0cfnN
— TicToc by Bloomberg (@tictoc) March 29, 2019
Clogged ports. Paralyzed manufacturing. Food shortages. Medicine shortages. A messy border with Ireland. A look at what a no-deal Brexit could bring to Britain. https://t.co/bVlMLYnsUx
— The New York Times (@nytimes) April 3, 2019
https://twitter.com/EU_Commission/status/1113749130659160064
https://twitter.com/Doozy_45/status/1112756985462775809
#Brexit food for thought from @Foodanddrinkfed: More than 40% of UK food is imported. Chief, Ian Wright tells @jchatterleyCNN that produce prices will rise, quality will fall and labor shortages will bite in a no-deal Brexit pic.twitter.com/fTibzBEU1u
— First Move CNN (@firstmove) April 3, 2019
Britons do, however, think the reports that a no deal Brexit would result in food/medicine shortages are exaggerated or invented by 47% to the 35% who think they are realistic https://t.co/n2FCw1NEta pic.twitter.com/VnzdZzdTBc
— YouGov (@YouGov) April 4, 2019
‘A worst-case Brexit could hit CI food supplies’https://t.co/LeJPvimIx1 pic.twitter.com/OzunVfVf1V
— Guernsey Press (@GuernseyPress) April 3, 2019
https://twitter.com/VladimirFarage/status/1114482407284125696
https://twitter.com/IceAgeFarmer/status/1114601796226260992
Will #Brexit create a #coffee crisis for your business? https://t.co/2oSi8xiWRx pic.twitter.com/qJoxdzlYIG
— Novell Coffee Trade (@TradeNovell) April 3, 2019
Why does Brexit matter to the world?
Brexit supporters say that once Britain is outside the EU it can forge closer trade and political ties with the US and other faster-growing economies. https://t.co/82hoohHbKg pic.twitter.com/D05RF1RPAq
— Financial Times (@FinancialTimes) April 5, 2019
https://twitter.com/globaljusticesc/status/1113436950625759233
Financial services and trade experts believe the vast majority of UK firms are finally prepared for life after #Brexit, having been forced by ongoing political uncertainty to put emergency market access plans into action. Read more: https://t.co/ItvhmXUvLT pic.twitter.com/dPm0HFI0G4
— PaymentsCompliance (@PayCompliance) April 4, 2019
https://twitter.com/LeedsEurope/status/1113408071756386304
https://twitter.com/EUlondonrep/status/1113758551074385922
BREXIT SPECIAL: on #BrexitDay, the day the UK was due to exit the EU, we present a special podcast playlist & look back at how Trinity's Arts and Humanities have analysed Brexit. Read & Listen now: https://t.co/5DiNRNRBIe #hubmatters #behindtheheadlines pic.twitter.com/bQ1jj2Gni9
— TrinityLongRoomHub (@TLRHub) March 29, 2019
Catch @LuukvMiddelaar on the fantastic #BrexitRepublic podcast talking to @tconnellyRTE about rule-making vs politics and how the #EU deals with borders. Luuk will be speaking at the @IIEA in #Dublin next Tuesday, tickets still available. https://t.co/dzA4W91WGA
— Agenda Publishing (@agendapub) March 23, 2019
Does your business trade with the UK? You'll need to register for an EORI number with @RevenueIE. Find out more about how to prepare for #Brexit here: https://t.co/re4iGpsxNc #BrexitReady pic.twitter.com/sRwpoG0DbT
— Getting Ireland Brexit Ready (@BrexitReadyIRL) April 3, 2019
You can read the below coverage of Sir Ivan Rogers' #Brexit address to the #IIEA yesterday evening:@IrishTimes (https://t.co/wKAfbqVrg1),
Bloomberg @business (https://t.co/lUbzmFZvsC)@guardian's live blog (https://t.co/YXYSrrZI1R).Watch back here: https://t.co/OK8v11B3FD
— IIEA (@iiea) March 21, 2019
This week’s #Brexit developments have brought the ‘WTO Option’ back into sharp focus – our latest paper ‘Brexit: Myths & Realities regarding the #WTO Option’, examines the consequences of the #UK trading on WTO terms and implications for Irish border. https://t.co/9AiDPqAeRH pic.twitter.com/2TvZAHWJKh
— IIEA (@iiea) March 14, 2019
No-deal Brexit may have steep costs for some sectors – WTO chief https://t.co/tPHMIz4hZp pic.twitter.com/6njnLIJuQz
— Reuters Top News (@Reuters) April 5, 2019
Euro firms on trade optimism, sterling higher after Brexit vote https://t.co/3EPclLh3WG pic.twitter.com/sxCgzQ5Kqe
— Reuters Top News (@Reuters) April 4, 2019
U.S. auto tariffs, no-deal Brexit are major risks for trade growth: WTO https://t.co/6IhkXG8gcv pic.twitter.com/8YfiW4C3uk
— Reuters Top News (@Reuters) April 2, 2019
'Real fear' in parliament that Brexit will never happen: UK trade minister https://t.co/a6vOSAu188 pic.twitter.com/uFROPUJjfl
— Reuters Top News (@Reuters) March 29, 2019
https://twitter.com/fiannafailparty/status/1112641901205827584
A mussels farmer who exports his entire haul to the #EU is to stop work for 6 to 8 months until there is more certainty around Brexit.#Brexit is already hurting real businesses and real lives.
Demand a #FinalSay with the option to #Remain. #PMQs https://t.co/t3wKp8PlAQ
— Wales For Europe ⭐️ Cymru Dros Ewrop (@WalesForEurope) April 3, 2019
Is Fishery Policy The Most Underrated Risk To A #Brexit Deal? | Zero Hedge https://t.co/y09pMI6qGl #TheresaMay #EU #France #Spain #Belgium #Ireland #Portugal #Denmark
— Sam Pye (@freddie1999) November 16, 2018
#French fishers in port of Boulogne fear fish will slip from their hands in event of no deal #Brexithttps://t.co/WUKI2J7jvO #france #fishing
— alison hird (@alisonsarahird) March 29, 2019
WTO members discuss draft texts on fisheries subsidies caps and other approaches #fisheriessubsidies https://t.co/lF6Gk9YbTr pic.twitter.com/TaYDxMfesv
— WTO (@wto) April 4, 2019
UK cannot simply trade on WTO terms after no-deal Brexit, say experts
In the interests of balance, I should point out Roger Daltrey would probably disagree.https://t.co/cBQv7la4L4
— Mike#FBPE (@mikeymike1) March 31, 2019
Leaving the EU on WTO terms – Briefings For Brexit https://t.co/P4W4vIBMPo
— Joseph Afrane (@josephafrane) April 5, 2019
Whilst parliament tries all it can to stop a no-deal Brexit. The British people increasingly back a world trade Brexit. Parliament vs. the people. https://t.co/jvFLBqjYZP
— Darren Grimes (@darrengrimes_) April 2, 2019
Crazy new EU rules could force food producers to rename 'veggie burgers' as 'veggie discs' and 'veggie sausages' as 'veggie tubes'. Is any sector safe from Eurocrats' incessant meddling? https://t.co/WFNwycaSRN #Brexit
— Richard Wellings (@RichardWellings) April 5, 2019
https://twitter.com/LeaveEUOfficial/status/1112369226415828995
“The widely-held view that the UK is ‘not ready’ to leave the EU on World Trade Organisation (WTO) terms is wrong. In fact, such an exit would now be perfectly viable thanks to preparations and agreements made over recent months.” https://t.co/VcFw75eM7J
— Owen Paterson MP (@OwenPaterson) March 31, 2019
I represent a leave constituency. The majority of people who voted leave in Swansea West did so for more money, more trade, more control over migration & our laws – & they're getting none of those things with Brexit pic.twitter.com/H0HYm0ilQ6
— Geraint Davies MP (@GeraintDaviesMP) April 1, 2019
You can't trust @CBItweets on British trade policy #LeaveNow https://t.co/ccLfHPu3qo
— Alliance of British Entrepreneurs (@AllianceBE) April 3, 2019
“It’s very disappointing that the Brexit process has now been entrusted to Jeremy Corbyn & the Labour Party. If Corbyn gets his way we’ll remain in the Customs Union so that we can’t control our trade policy. Brexit is becoming soft to the point of disintegration” @BorisJohnson pic.twitter.com/pcL9Aqy499
— #StandUp4Brexit (@StandUp4Brexit) April 2, 2019
A Customs Union would mean the EU setting our trade policy with the rest of the world, without the United Kingdom having any say! This is an unthinkable outcome for World's 5th largest economy.
Email your MP & let them know your thoughts: https://t.co/JEpjf4gVuU#StandUp4Brexit pic.twitter.com/d9WgnvRnwT
— #StandUp4Brexit (@StandUp4Brexit) April 1, 2019
Ken Clarke hits the back of the net yet again as he schools Andrew Neil on trade deals and tells him he sounds like a member of the ERG! Is Andrew happy that ERG members, in the pockets of American argibusiness, promote a US trade deal that is being shadow negotiated by the IEA? pic.twitter.com/W2qHC4qNA7
— Brexitshambles (@brexit_sham) April 4, 2019
Liam Fox in 2017: "Believe me, we'll have up to 40 ready for one second after midnight in March 2019…"
You were saying, Liam?https://t.co/6V4Z3i0GtB
— Scientists for EU (@Scientists4EU) March 29, 2019
"We are standing here waiting to make a trade deal with a UK independent of the EU."
US security adviser John Bolton says the UK will be "at the top of the queue" for a trade deal with America after #Brexit.
Full interview here: https://t.co/UEgzgR5494 pic.twitter.com/Qd4IiOFnHm
— Sky News (@SkyNews) March 30, 2019
https://twitter.com/C_Barraud/status/1111945603280523264
How have you been preparing traders in your constituency for the significant barriers to trade with EU & RoW that any form of #Brexit raises? Did you tell them in 2016 that they'd lose all frictionless trade & RoW deals? Fishing likely to be gutted: https://t.co/jDgZEQaIoR pic.twitter.com/82Wdx9V8io
— Sarah Adkins (@S_CAdkins) April 3, 2019
The world is changing fast. Are we ready for what is to come? The EU has to contend with unprecedented threats like #ClimateChange, #CyberWarfare, #Brexit and more. Read up on defensive strategies in our new “Building and fostering Resilience” report: https://t.co/LX6kpHupjt pic.twitter.com/LnndvKvm9G
— Friends of Europe (@FriendsofEurope) April 5, 2019
https://twitter.com/FriendsofEurope/status/1112999181990461440
On the quiet, #UK prepares for 'zombie' #European polls#TheresaMay #Brexithttps://t.co/XxGFEJf1ed
— Emirates 24|7 (@Emirates247) April 5, 2019