Tag: Foreign Policy

Middle East Vol.15 (Iran Vol.11: JCPOA)


Middle East Vol.14 (Iran Vol.10: JCPOA)


Middle East Vol.13 (Iran Vol.9: JCPOA)


Middle East Vol.12 (Iran Vol.8: The Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA))


https://twitter.com/francediplo_EN/status/1085573389169950723


Middle East Vol.11 (Sunni Versus Shiite (Shia) / Iran Vol.7)

Excerpts are on our own.

What’s the Difference Between Shiite and Sunni Muslims? (02/25/2011) | Remy Melina @LiveScience
The Sunnis believe that Muhammad had no rightful heir and that a religious leader should be elected through a vote among the Islamic community’s people. They believe that Muhammad’s followers chose Abu Bakr, Muhammad’s close friend and advisor, as his successor.
Shiites believe that only Allah, the God of the Islam faith, can select religious leaders, and that therefore, all successors must be direct descendants of Muhammad’s family. They maintain that Ali, Muhammad’s cousin and son-in-law, was the rightful heir to the leadership of the Islam religion after Muhammad’s death.
…while the Sunnis hold that the Mahdi has not yet been born and anticipate his arrival, the Shiites believe that the Mahdi was born in 869 A.D. and will return to Earth under Allah’s orders.

The Sunni Shia Divide | @CFR_org
… Sunni and Shia Muslims have lived peacefully together for centuries. In many countries it has become common for members of the two sects to intermarry and pray at the same mosques. They share faith in the Quran and the Prophet Mohammed’s sayings and perform similar prayers, although they differ in rituals and interpretation of Islamic law.
Shia identity is rooted in victimhood over the killing of Husayn, the Prophet Mohammed’s grandson, in the seventh century, and a long history of marginalization by the Sunni majority. Islam’s dominant sect, which roughly 85 percent of the world’s 1.6 billion Muslims follow, viewed Shia Islam with suspicion, and extremist Sunnis have portrayed Shias as heretics and apostates. …
Origins of the Schism
… A group of prominent early followers of Islam elected Abu Bakr, a companion of Mohammed, to be the first caliph, or leader of the Islamic community, over the objections of those who favored Ali ibn Abi Talib, Mohammed’s cousin and son-in-law. The opposing camps in the succession debate eventually evolved into Islam’s two main sects. Shias, a term that stems from shi’atu Ali, Arabic for “partisans of Ali,” believe that Ali and his descendants are part of a divine order. Sunnis, meaning followers of the sunna, or “way” in Arabic, of Mohammed, are opposed to political succession based on Mohammed’s bloodline.
Ali became caliph in 656 and ruled only five years before he was assassinated. …
Modern Tensions
… Under Khomeini, Iran began an experiment in Islamic rule. Khomeini tried to inspire further Islamic revival, preaching Muslim unity, but supported groups in Lebanon, Iraq, Afghanistan, Bahrain, and Pakistan that had specific Shia agendas. Sunni Islamists, such as the Muslim Brotherhood and Hamas, admired Khomeini’s success, but did not accept his leadership, underscoring the depth of sectarian suspicions.
Saudi Arabia has a sizable Shia minority of roughly 10 percent, and millions of adherents of a puritanical brand of Sunni Islam known as Wahhabism (an offshoot of the Sunni Hanbali school) that is antagonistic to Shia Islam. The transformation of Iran into an overtly Shia power after the Islamic revolution induced Saudi Arabia to accelerate the propagation of Wahhabism, as both countries revived a centuries-old sectarian rivalry over the true interpretation of Islam. …
…confessional identity has resurfaced wherever sectarian violence has taken root, as in Iraq after the 2003 U.S.-led invasion removed Saddam Hussein, a dictator from the Sunni minority who ruled over a Shia-majority country. The bombing of a Shia shrine in Samara in 2006 kicked off a cycle of sectarian violence that forced Iraqis to pick sides…
… Since the 2003 invasion of Iraq unseated Saddam Hussein and instituted competitive elections, the Shia majority has dominated the parliament and produced its prime ministers. Hezbollah, the Lebanese Shia militia and political movement, is the strongest party in Lebanon. The Houthis, Shia militants in Yemen tenuously linked to Iran…
Practicing the Faith
… Shias believe that God always provides a guide, first the Imams and then ayatollahs, or experienced Shia scholars who have wide interpretative authority and are sought as a source of emulation. … Iran’s supreme leader, Ali Khamenei, was appointed by an elected body of Iranian clerics, while maraji (plural of marja) are elevated through the religious schools in Qom, Najaf, and Karbala. … Many Shias emulate a marja for religious affairs and defer to Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei in Iran for political guidance. For Sunnis, authority is based on the Quran and the traditions of Mohammed. Sunni religious scholars, who are constrained by legal precedents, exert far less authority over their followers than their Shia counterparts. …
Sectarian Militants
… Tens of thousands of Syrian Sunnis joined rebel groups such as Ahrar al-Sham, the Islamic Front, and al-Qaeda’s Nusra Front, which all employ anti-Shia rhetoric; similar numbers of Syrian Shias and Alawis enlisted with an Iran-backed militia known as the National Defense Force to fight for the Assad regime. Sunni fighters from Arab and Western countries initially joined the Syrian rebels before turning their guns on them in an effort to establish their envisaged caliphate. Meanwhile Hezbollah and some Shia militias from Iraq, such as Asaib Ahl al-Haq and Kata’ib Hezbollah, backed the Syrian government. Syria’s civil war has attracted more militants from more countries than were involved in the conflicts in Afghanistan, Chechnya, and Bosnia combined.
Al-Qaeda in Iraq had been decimated by Sunni Iraqis who joined the fight against extremists, the U.S.-led military surge, and the death of Zarqawi, its leader, in a 2006 U.S. airstrike, but found new purpose exploiting the vacuum left by the receding Syrian state. It established its own transnational movement known as the Islamic State in Iraq and Syria. The group expanded its grip on Sunni provinces in Iraq and eastern regions in Syria, seizing Iraq’s second-largest city, Mosul, in June 2014. …

The Middle East’s Great Divide Is Not Sectarianism (03/11/2019) | Hussein Agha and Robert Malley @newyorker
… Sunnis, embattled and embittered by Shiite ambitions, radicalize in large numbers, join Al Qaeda, or enlist in isis. Shiites, moved by the anxiety of a minority, overstep and seek power far in excess of their numbers. …
The region’s most ferociously violent Sunni actor, the Islamic State, for all its anti-Shiite discourse, claims Sunnis as the overwhelming majority of its victims. The fierce battles for the Iraqi city of Mosul or the Syrian city of Raqqa pitted Sunni against Sunni. isis attacks in Egypt, Somalia, Libya, Nigeria, and elsewhere almost always have Sunnis as prey. There are few examples of wide-scale killings of Shiites by the group. …
… Yet the Assad regime is not exclusively Alawite, having been built around an alliance among Alawites, Sunni middle classes, and an array of religious minorities. It is hard to imagine the regime having survived without at least some backing from mainstream Sunnis: for much of its history, it relied on financial and political support from Sunni Gulf monarchies, Saudi Arabia first and foremost. During the early stages of the U.S. occupation of Iraq, the Syrian regime enabled the transit of radical Sunni Islamist fighters to the country, where they targeted Americans and mostly Iranian-backed Shiites.
… When Russia rescued the regime in Damascus—killing a large number of Sunnis in the process—Sunni Arab leaders did not spurn Putin; they instead embarked on repeated pilgrimages to Moscow with offers of arms and trade deals and strategic alliances. … It is unsurprising that, as the war winds down, the U.A.E. and Bahrain have decided to restore diplomatic relations with the Syrian regime. Both are preoccupied with the struggle against Turkey and Qatar and share a fear of Sunni Islamism. …
… The Iranian Revolution helped provide a model to emulate and an ally to curry. But at the core of the Houthis’ grievance are social issues: they resent their loss of status and the increased neglect of the northern part of the country, their stronghold. …
The latest, most covered, and vivid act of violence, the murder of Jamal Khashoggi, is also an internal Sunni affair. … The backdrop to the killing is the tug-of-war among variants of Sunni Islam: the ascetic Wahhabis, the activist Muslim Brotherhood, and the statist neo-Ottomans, each competing for leadership. …
… The Lebanese Prime Minister detained by Saudi Arabia, in 2017, was a Sunni. Hezbollah actually increased the number of Sunni allies it has in Parliament and in the Lebanese government in the aftermath of its intervention in the Syrian civil war against Sunni rebels. …
… Shiite Iran—not Sunni Turkey or Sunni Gulf countries—was the first to supply weapons and abet the predominantly Sunni Kurds when they were threatened by isis. Saudi Arabia’s attempt to build ties to Shiite elements in Iraq and Iran’s robust relations with some Iraqi Sunnis do not fit neatly in a binary sectarian dynamic. Nor does the refusal of Pakistan—which has one of the world’s largest Sunni populations—to heed Saudi Arabia’s call to arms in Yemen. …

Sectarian conflicts in the Middle East can be resolved: Sectarianism is a modern-day phenomenon in the Middle East and should be addressed as such. (10/10/2018) | Marwan Kabalan @AJEnglish
… The Shia revival, and the surge in sectarian politics in Iraq and later in Syria, within the contexts of the Arab Spring, led to the rise of the Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant (ISIL) and other radical Sunni groups. ISIL presented itself as the champion of Sunni Islam against the rise of Shia power and Iran’s expansionist policies. …
The dismantling of the Iraqi state and the failure to replace it with a state based on the rule of law that is neutral in its relation with all its citizens was instrumental in the rise of sectarianism in the country. … Sectarian policies of the Dawah Party, especially under former Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki, killed almost every possibility to establish a state for all Iraqi citizens.
In Syria, the use of indiscriminate force by the regime of Bashar al-Assad to suppress the 2011 protest movement, as well as Iran and Iraq’s support for these drastic measures led to the emergence of regional sectarian axes. …
… The only way to counter them is by rebuilding strong nation-states which embrace human rights and the rule of law, but also retain a monopoly over the use of force. …
For strong nation-states to be built, a Westphalian peace must be established in the Middle East, wherein no country is allowed to interfere in the internal affairs of others. …
Democracies are more capable of resolving conflicts and building collective security regimes…

Saudi Arabia and Iran’s Rivalry: Politics Under the Veil of “Deep-Rooted Sectarianism” (09/03/2018) | Farah Oraby @BerkeleyPolRev
…conflict has traditionally developed on ideological and not sectarian lines. During the second half of the 20th century, it was the struggle between Pan-Arabists and Pan-Islamists that shaped local conflicts in the region, not the Sunni-Shia sectarian divide. For instance, in 1962, when Nasserist Pan-Arabism posed a threat to the Saudi monarchical order, Saudi Arabia intervened in Yemen on the side of the Zaydi, a Shia offshoot Inmates against the Nasser-inspired Republican movement. The rivalry between Saudi Arabia and Iran today is thus best understood as a classic balance of power struggle, with sectarianism as one of its components but not its root. …

The Jewish State And Sunni Muslim World Against Shiite Iran (02/14/2019) | Charles Bybelezer @TheMediaLine
… “Iranian missiles are a concern that wasn’t addressed in the [nuclear deal] and the project has continued because [Tehran] is being supported by the Chinese and private individuals from Russia,” Dr. Soli Shavar, Director of the Ezri Center for Iran and Persian Gulf Studies at the University of Haifa, told The Media Line. “Before reaching a point of regret for not having done enough to stop a potential regional war, we have to upgrade the efforts against Tehran and economic sanctions are not enough.” …
This position dovetails with recent reports that Saudi King Salman recently took back control of the Palestinian portfolio from Crown Prince Mohammad bin Salman due to the impression his son and heir to the throne was being too amenable to the White House’s reported attempt to redefine manners in which to address and resolve core issues of the conflict.
Notably, the Saudi prince’s interview aired a day after Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas met in Riyadh with King Salman, who reiterated support for the establishment of a Palestinian state along the 1967 borders with the eastern part of Jerusalem as its capital. …

How Iran fueled Islam’s Sunni-Shiite divide (03/09/2019) | Jennifer Bell @arabnews
…the origins of the 1,400-year divide were “virtually unknown” in the West outside specialist academic circles until the Iranian revolution of 1979…
… “Very often Sunnis and Shiites have been able to coexist in harmony. Look what happened in Iraq after the First World War…
…when the Iranian regime happened, what Shiite cleric Ayatollah Khomeini, the leader of the Iranian revolution, wanted was to get all Muslims behind his Islamic revolution, Sunnis as well as Shiites.”
…the sectarian split could be traced back – not because of religious differences from the mainstream – but because of two different perceptions of who should exercise religious authority among Muslims after the Prophet’s death.
…problem is not to do with religion, it is to do with other political factors.
…the violence we see today in many Arab countries is because of the politicization of Shiite Islam and then the turbocharging of sectarian violence which followed on as a result of the Iraq invasion in 2003 up until 2005…
…Sunnis are 85-90 percent of the world’s 1.6 billion Muslim population… whereas most Shiite Muslims live in four countries: Iran, Pakistan, India and Iraq. …

The Odd Couple: Why Iran Is Backing the Taliban (03/08/2018) | @stratfor
In the conflict in Afghanistan, there are few stranger bedfellows than Iran and the Taliban. The former is the spiritual hub of Shiite Islam, while the latter is a vociferously anti-Shiite Sunni fundamentalist movement. …
… The main reason for Iran’s backing is the rise of the Islamic State’s Khorasan chapter in Afghanistan. Unlike the Taliban, whose chief aim is to reconquer Kabul, the Khorasan group is part of a transnational jihadist movement that threatens Iran, too. (An Islamic State cell, in fact, carried out the coordinated attacks in the country’s capital that killed 17 people in June 2017.) The Islamic State has been active in Afghanistan since 2015. And while it maintains a presence in 30 of Afghanistan’s 399 districts, mainly in the country’s eastern Nangarhar province, the group has yet to seize control of any territory. …
… (Russia’s alleged support for the group is a remarkable policy reversal given that the Taliban are the descendants of the mujahideen who fought the Soviets in their 1979 invasion.)
… The jihadist group’s activity in the country, moreover, provides Iran with a useful pretext to maintain a presence in its long-unstable eastern neighbor. …

Trump’s Iran Crackdown Isn’t Enough to Stop Hezbollah: Unless Washington targets the group more effectively, it can outlive the pressure on Tehran. (06/11/2019) | @eottolenghi @ForeignPolicy
…sanctions on Iran are unlikely to cause Hezbollah to go broke, because the Lebanese group brings in an estimated $300 million per year from independent sources including the proceeds of transnational crime, although the true figure is likely much higher. In Latin America’s booming cocaine trade, Hezbollah members and associates provide cartels with reliable money-laundering services.
… The shadowy relationship between Venezuela, Iran, and Hezbollah expanded during Carvajal’s tenure. …
The DEA believed that Joumaa, using the Lebanese Canadian Bank and a vast network of businesses, laundered $200 million a month for Colombian and Mexican drug cartels. …
…Hezbollah’s money flows at their starting points in Latin America, nor have its numerous financial facilitators suffered any consequence for their ongoing actions. These may include Lebanese Brazilians operating in the Tri-Border Area (TBA) of Argentina, Brazil, and Paraguay.
First…against Hezbollah’s networks. …more attorneys, more analysts, more interpreters, more field agents…
Second, the Trump administration should impose sanctions, prosecutions, and other interdictory actions against malign actors rather than leave them in the field, as intelligence officials often advocate, in the hope they can turn into informants. …
Third, the United States should start targeting Hezbollah’s enablers. If countries like Paraguay cannot or will not clean up their politics and banking system, the United States should press international forums like the Financial Action Task Force to blacklist them. …
Fourth, the Trump administration could target entire foreign jurisdictions in Latin America, such as the TBA…
Fifth, the United States should deny or revoke the visas of Latin American officials that go out of their way…
Finally, the United States should reinforce the impact of its terror designations against Hezbollah financiers in Latin America by also targeting local companies that help them. …

How the Shia-Sunni split in 632AD led to Iran and Saudi Arabia’s power games today (01/05/2016) | Aamna Mohdin @qz
… Saudi Arabia has since severed diplomatic ties with Shia-led Iran following the attack on its embassy, ending both trade and air traffic links. Bahrain, Sudan, and the UAE have also downgraded ties with Iran. …
Saudi Arabia, whose history dates back to the time of the prophet, was first unified by Abdel Aziz ibn Saud in 1932, who established an absolute monarchy. Wahhabism—a religious movement that wants to purify Sunni Islam and return religious practice to the Quran and Hadiths—heavily influenced the king and his successors’ rule. Wahhabism is named after Muhammad ibn Abd al-Wahhab, an 18th-century preacher who strongly opposed the Shias.
This power was dramatically challenged by the Iranian revolution of 1979…
Saudi Arabia’s fear about its own grips on power in the region has grown dramatically since the Arab Spring, where a number of Shia activists called for equal rights in the kingdom, which continues to run segregationist policy against Shia muslims. The country brutally put down these protests—and those in neighboring Bahrain. …

Iran-Allied Rebels Strike Saudi Airport: More than 20 are injured in an attack that Saudi Arabia said deliberately targeted civilians (06/12/2019) | @SUNEENGEL @WSJ
A missile fired by Iran-allied militias in Yemen injured 26 civilians in Saudi Arabia…
The Houthi insurgents said they had targeted the airport with a cruise missile in self-defense against Saudi aggression and a yearslong blockade… …alluded that it was in retaliation for Saudi strikes killing Yemeni civilians.
… The U.S. and its regional allies accuse Iran of arming and training the Houthis. Tehran denies it has supplied weapons to the group but says it supports its cause.
… The U.S. also accused Iran of orchestrating a spate of recent attacks in the region, including the sabotage of oil tankers in the Gulf of Oman. Iran denies involvement.
… The war unleashed what the United Nations has called the world’s worst humanitarian disaster and caused over 70,000 civilian casualties… The Saudi-led coalition has killed more than 4,800 civilians in direct targeting of civilian facilities since 2016, compared with more than 1,300 by the Houthis…

How Do Sunni and Shia Islam Differ? (01/03/2016) | John Harney @nytimes
Ramadan for the Shiite and Sunni Muslims (05/15/2018) | Beth Stolicker @MNNTeam
The differences between Shia and Sunni Muslims are at the center of the Iran-Saudi Arabia conflict (01/04/2016) | Peter Jacobs and Barbara Tasch @businessinsider
Sunnis and Shia: Islam’s ancient schism (04/01/2016) | @BBC
Why Saudi Arabia and Iran are bitter rivals (18/11/2017) | Jonathan Marcus @BBC
What is the Shia-Sunni divide? (05/24/2017) | Mohammad Shoib @reuters @ConversationEDU
Why Sunnis and Shiites are fighting, explained in two minutes (01/22/2014) | Max Fisher @washingtonpost
What Is the Difference Between Sunni and Shiite Muslims – And Why Does It Matter? | @myHNN
Sunni Versus Shiite Conflict Explained: The True Cause of All Middle East Conflicts (06/04/2019) | KIMBERLY AMADEO @thebalance
ONE MAP THAT EXPLAINS THE DANGEROUS SAUDI-IRANIAN CONFLICT (01/07/2016) | Jon Schwarz @theintercept
Sunni-Shia, or Saudi-Iran Discord? (11/08/2016) | Abukar Arman @HuffPost
The Saudi-Iranian Blood Feud (05/05/2016) | Ted Galen Carpenter @ChroniclesMag @CATO
The Sunni-Shia Political Struggle between Iran and Saudi Arabia (PDF) | Thomas G. Cardinali
The Sunni-Shiite divide in the Middle East is about nationalism, not a conflict within Islam (12/31/2018) | Ömer Taşpınar @BrookingsFP
Many Sunnis and Shias Worry About Religious Conflict (PDF) | @pewresearch
Sunni v. Shia: Iran’s strategy – IN 60 SECONDS (YouTube) | @AEI
Sunni-Shia Tensions in the Iran-Iraq War (04/21/2012) | SAM LANGTREE @E_IR
Does the Iranian constitution prohibit building Sunni mosques? (12/10/2017) | Anastasia (Fatima) Ezhova
The Precarious Existence Of Iran’s Sunni Muslims (02/11/2016) | @NPRinskeep
Sunnis in Iran: An Alternate View (04/24/2018) | PEYMAN ASADZADE @ACIranSource
IRAN’S USE OF SHI‘I MILITANT PROXIES: IDEOLOGICAL AND PRACTICAL EXPEDIENCY VERSUS UNCERTAIN SUSTAINABILITY (PDF; 06/2018) | ALEX VATANKA @MiddleEastInst
Report: Iran Escalates Targeting of Non-Shiite Muslims, Other Religious Minorities (04/30/2019) | Michael Lipin, Farhad Pouladi @VOANews
THE SYRIANS DON’T AND WON’T TOE THE IRANIAN LINE: EXPLAINING A MOST CURIOUS ALLIANCE (04/24/2019) | KAMAL ALAM @WarOnTheRocks
Are you a Sunni or a Shia? It Does Matter for the U.S. (02/11/2016) | Munzer Eid Alzamalkani @intpolicydigest
The United States Cannot Afford to Pick a Side in the Shia-Sunni Fight (06/25/2018) | Payam Mohseni, Ammar Nakhjavani @TheNatlInterest
Mismatched Expectations: Iran and the Muslim Brotherhood After the Arab Uprisings (03/19/2019) | TAMER BADAWI, OSAMA AL-SAYYAD @CarnegieMEC
Tehran Imam calls for Sunni-Shia unity against enemies of Islam (11/24/2018) | @MiddleEastMnt
The Forgotten Arabs of Iran (01/03/2019) | Ali Al Youha @HarvardKSR
IRANIAN STRATEGY IN SYRIA (w PDF; 2013) | Will Fulton, Joseph Holliday, and Sam Wyer @TheStudyofWar
SHIA-SUNNI SECTARIANISM: IRAN’S ROLE IN THE TRIBAL REGIONS OF PAKISTAN (w PDF; 2015) | Shazia Kamal Farook @gtownlibrary
Uzbekistan: Ethnic Iranian Shias Face Legal Troubles in Bukhara (08/30/2017) | @EurasiaNet
Unraveling the Qatar crisis: Sunni, Shia, Saudi, Iranian — and Trump (06/07/2017) | Tim Lister @CNN
Egypt-Iran relations and the Sunni-Shia power struggle (03/06/2013) | Lauren Madow @PRI
Aligning With Iran Necessary To Combat Sunni Extremism (06/05/2017) | Emile Nakhleh @LobeLog
The Age-Old Sunni-Shia War Is Sucking America In: Naiveté led Bush to invade Iraq, and Obama to portray a nuke deal with Iran as a panacea. But all Washington is doing is making things worse. (03/30/2015) | Jamie Dettmer @thedailybeast
Trump State Dept. Admits Nuclear Deal Keeps Iran From Getting Nuclear Weapon (w Video; 06/12/2019) | Tommy Christopher @Mediaite


Virginia Vol.6 / Large enterprises Vol.4 (General Dynamics)


https://twitter.com/navalnewscom/status/1122779345645461504


https://twitter.com/navalnewscom/status/1122779345645461504


European Union Vol.6 (2019 European Parliament elections Vol.6: DE, AT, etc.)

DE


https://twitter.com/richardherlihy/status/1131552082882912258
https://twitter.com/TerryReintke/status/1129442179225653249


AT


https://twitter.com/LeaveEUOfficial/status/1127943460282142720

Miscellaneous


https://twitter.com/Europarl_EN/status/1128584356606480384


https://twitter.com/Europarl_EN/status/1123346289612267526


https://twitter.com/EUCouncil/status/1133373528961691648


https://twitter.com/EU_Commission/status/1130784120219623424
https://twitter.com/EU_Commission/status/1130141065670004737


https://twitter.com/EU_Commission/status/1130061787091496960
https://twitter.com/EU_Commission/status/1129333092873834496


Australia Vol.17 (2019 federal election)

House of Representatives – who is leading? | @AusElectoralCom
2019 federal election boundaries map (w PDFs) | @AusElectoralCom
Infosheet 8 – Elections for the House of Representatives | Parliament of Australia
Senate Results | @ABCNews
How the Senate result is determined | @AusElectoralCom
Senate elections | Parliament of Australia

DELIVERING OUR PLAN | @LiberalAus
Our Plan – BUILDING OUR ECONOMY. SECURING YOUR FUTURE. | Liberal National Party
PLAN FOR A STRONGER REGIONAL AUSTRALIA – The Nationals’ heart is in the country and the coast. | @The_Nationals
OUR PLAN | @CountryLibs
Liberal Party’s Scott Morrison re-elected as Australian Prime Minister (Video; 05/18/2019) | @globalnews
Scott Morrison goes from accidental Prime Minister to homespun hero in election 2019 (05/20/2019) | Andrew Probyn @ABCNews
cf. Australia Vol.4 (Coalition – Liberal Party of Australia, Liberal National Party of Queensland, National Party of Australia, Country Liberal Party (NT) – 2016 Election Policies)
Malcolm Turnbull Election Night Speech 2016 (YouTube)
Tony Abbott Speech – 2013 Campaign Launch (YouTube)

Excerpts are on our own.
Australia’s conservatives relish unexpected 3rd term win (05/18/2019) | @reuters,@CBC
… The White House said Trump and Morrison spoke by phone and “pledged to continue their close cooperation on shared priorities.” Morrison told raucously cheering supporters late on Saturday, who just hours earlier had seemed resigned to defeat, that he had always believed in miracles. …
… Morrison, however, cast himself as the candidate who would work for aspirational voters and the tactic seemed to strike a chord. A Pentecostal church-goer, Morrison took over as prime minister last year when he emerged as the unexpected winner of infighting within the Liberal party…
… The government campaigned on a platform of tax cuts and stability, while Labor promised to reduce inequality through tax reform, higher wages, better public infrastructure and faster action on climate change. Fitch Ratings said in a note the result would bring policy continuity, including the coalition’s pledge to start delivering budget surpluses next financial year. …
Here are the winning stocks in Australia as Morrison takes victory at the elections (05/20/2019) | @CNBC
… Bank, coal miners, property and healthcare stocks jumped, pushing the benchmark S&P/ASX 200 index to an 11-year high, after opening 1.7% higher and hitting its highest intraday level since 2007. …
… Yancoal Australia surged 5.7%, New Hope jumped about 4%, and Whitehaven Coal rose about 2%…
… Shares of Australia’s biggest lender Commonwealth Bank of Australia jumped about 6% and National Australia Bank surged 6.63%. Australia and New Zealand Banking Group also rose 6.46%, while Westpac soared 7.16%. …
… Property classified ads company REA Group was up 7% and shares of its rival, Domain Holdings Australia, rose 3% in early trade. Construction firm Lendlease Group bounced about 1%, while property developer Stockland jumped over 4.5%.
… Shares of the country’s biggest private health insurer Medibank Private were up 10%, while smaller NIB Holdings was up 9%…
What a Labor Victory Might Mean for Australian Foreign Policy (01/31/2019) | @elenacollinson @CFR_org
… In October 2016, Shorten declared Trump “entirely unsuitable to be leader of the free world,” having earlier that year described Trump’s policies as “barking mad.” In January 2017, Shorten called the new president’s policy barring visitors from several Muslim-majority from entering the United States “appalling.”…
… But any rift this may cause between the two countries is likely to be superficial. Shorten and the senior members of his shadow cabinet have articulated an “unshakeable” commitment to the U.S.-Australia alliance, terming it a “pillar” of the ALP’s foreign policy vision and “central to Australia’s strategic interests.”…
… With respect to China, there is no immediate indication that the ALP’s approach will differ significantly from that of the current government. Criticisms from Labor of the government’s handling of the Australia-China relationship have predominantly centred on rhetoric, variously characterizing it as “disjointed megaphone diplomacy,” “Chinaphobic” and “unwise and provocative,”…
…a ban on foreign political donations, and the decision to block Chinese companies Huawei and ZTE from involvement in the rollout of Australia’s 5G network. Labor has also been supportive of strategies to balance China’s regional rise, actively engaging in the push to forge closer ties with Pacific nations, and articulating a strong commitment to the Quadrilateral Security Dialogue. There is also general consensus between the two major parties… the Australian government is handling the mass internment of an estimated one million Uighurs and other Muslim minorities in Xinjiang “the appropriate way” by enunciating Canberra’s concerns “very clear publicly and privately” but not immediately…
Shorten has also rejected the notion of “pre-emptively framing China as a strategic threat,” placing some distance between the Labor Party’s proposed China policy and the more adversarial posture toward China reflected in the U.S. National Security and National Defense Strategies and amplified in Vice President Mike Pence’s tough speech…
Two areas of potential difference in a Labor-led China policy may be on Australian strategy in the South China Sea and participation in the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI). …
One priority in Labor’s overall Asia strategy is to deepen economic ties with Indonesia, one of Australia’s most important, and often contentious, bilateral relationships. …
…in 2017, there is bipartisan support for the Australian foreign policy white paper released that year. The white paper, Australia’s first in fourteen years, examines the shifting power dynamics in the Indo-Pacific region, with a particular focus on the challenges presented by China’s rise…

Federal election 2019: What a Coalition win means for you, major policies explained: Scott Morrison’s stunning win saw the Coalition remain in government, but some changes are still coming soon. Here’s what you need to know. (w Video; 05/20/2019) | @9NewsAUS
Former Liberal Party leader: How Morrison won Australian elections (Video; 05/20/2019) | @CNBC
Working-Class Voters Deliver a Win for Conservatives in Australia (05/19/2019) | @NRO
Five Things To Know About Australia’s Election Results: As the country attempts to get its head around what happened last night, we are offering up a few bite-sized takeaways to get you through a day of political small talk. (19/05/2019) | @vice
What Scott Morrison’s win means for Australian investors (18/05/2019) | Katarina Taurian @NestEggAU
Why China is not celebrating the unexpected Australian election result (05/20/2019) | John Lee @CNN
Australia’s conservative party retains power in shocking election result (05/19/2019) | Rachel Withers @vox
How did they get it so wrong? Polling companies explain what happened after predicting a Labor win for THREE YEARS (20/05/2019) | DANIEL PIOTROWSKI and STEPHEN JOHNSON @dailymailuk
10 key lessons from Australia’s poll-defying election results (05/20/2019) | @washingtonpost
4 things to know about Australia’s contentious election: After years of dysfunction, will conservatives get the boot? (w Video; 05/17/2019) | Eric Kleefeld @vox
2019 Federal Election Preview (12/05/2019) | @OddscheckerAu
Morrison’s Allies Retain Power in Most-Populous Australian State (03/23/2019) | Jason Scott and Jackie Edwards @bpolitics
FactCheck: has Australia’s net debt doubled under the current government? (08/06/2018) | Mark Crosby @ConversationEDU

Labor’s Policies For A Fair Go For Australia | @AustralianLabor
LABOR’S FISCAL PLAN (PDF) | @AustralianLabor
How Australian Labor lost ‘the unlosable election’ (Audio) | Rebecca Huntley @abcconvos
How did the Liberal National Party win over voters in Queensland? (YouTube) | @ABCNews
Bill Shorten quits as Labor leader after loss (YouTube) | @9NewsAUS
What the left can learn from Australian Labor: By combining radical economics with patriotism, the party has made itself the favourite to win this May’s general election. (16/01/2019) | Adrian Pabst @NewStatesman
cf. Australia Vol.12 (Queensland)
We’re building a future for all of us | @Greens
Swing of 2.6% will give the Greens a dominant role on Senate crossbench: Adam Bandt comfortably re-elected in Melbourne but party fails to make gains in the lower house (19/05/2019) | @Paul_Karp @guardian
The rise of the Australian Greens (22/09/2008) | Scott Bennett @ Politics and Public Administration Section @ Parliament of Australia
cf. Australia Vol.3 (Australian Labor Party’s 10 Year Plan for Australia’s Economy; AUSTRALIAN GREENS ELECTION PLATFORM 2016)
Election 2016: Bill Shorten’s full campaign launch speech (YouTube)
Kevin Rudd’s Labor campaign launch speech (YouTube; 2013)
Julia Gillard Campaign Launch (YouTube; 2010)

Excerpts are on our own.
Australian election: Labor’s humiliating defeat – why it fell apart for Bill Shorten – ANALYSIS (19/05/2019) | Malcolm Farr @nzherald
… Bill Shorten’s attempt to parlay six years of Labor unity and preparation into a victory formula has failed, with Queensland bringing it undone. …
… Scott Morrison has established himself as a fierce political street brawler who surprised Labor with his energy, his aggression, and his read of the electorate. …
… As Liberal John Hewson found in 1993, Labor’s Bill Shorten has learned in 2019: Being a reformer exposes you to misrepresentation by an opponent unencumbered by fresh direction. …
… It should also be acknowledged his departure makes life easier for Morrison, who will not have to keep looking over his shoulder at creeping Abbott ambitions. … “It’s also clear that in at least some of what might be described as ‘wealthy seats’, we are doing it tough, and the Green left is doing better.”
…few political operative were able to pander to the desires for simplistic certainties, like Pauline Hanson and Clive Palmer. @OneNationAus and @UnitedAusParty were crucial in regional Queensland results. …
Tanya Plibersek’s disastrous comment that cost Labor Queensland: Tanya Plibersek has been slammed over a remark she made in the lead-up to the election, which may have cost her party the crucial state of Queensland. (05/20/2019) | @gavindfernando @newscomauHQ
…she was out there denigrating the coal industry and saying it will phase out,” he told Sky News. “To say that on the eve of the election, in which there are six marginal seats in North Queensland in the coal belt, was absolutely disastrous. …
… The seats Mr Katter refers to are Peter Dutton’s northern Brisbane seat of Dickson, George Christensen’s marginal seat of Dawson, the Townsville-based seat of Herbert, as well as Flynn, Capricornia and Leichhardt. …
… The Labor Party was dealt a crushing blow in Queensland, with its vote falling to just 27.4 per cent…
… Last month, she told the ABC that Australians “can’t rely on an Indian mining company to bring jobs to central and north Queensland”. Prime Minister Scott Morrison slammed her over the remarks, comparing her to former NSW Labor leader Michael Daley. Mr Daley infamously accused Asians of taking Australian jobs during the NSW state election in March, before he went on to lose the vote. …
… “We needed to make it clear that if it was able to do so, that of course Labor would welcome the investment and jobs,” Mr Fitzgibbon said. The Hunter MP, who suffered a big swing against him towards One Nation’s pro-coal candidate, also said the party had drifted too far to the left. …
… Liberal senator Eric Abetz said the impact of the debate around Adani went beyond Queensland, into his own state of Tasmania. “Adani was seen … as an indication that the Labor Party was deserting its grassroots and the workers in favour of the suburban city elite…


https://twitter.com/HillelNeuer/status/1129888752183185408


UK Vol.138 (England Vol.17 – South East Vol.4)

University of Oxford
@BalliolOxford
@BrasenoseNews
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@HallBlackfriars
@CampionOxf
@greentempleton
@KelloggOx
@LinacreCollege
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@StAntsCollege
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@SBSInsights
@ecioxford
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@oxfordwater
@reachwater
@oxfutureoffood
@FCRNetwork
@ELAC_Oxford
@oxfordPIL
@HERC_Oxford
@OxrepJournal
@INETOxford
@oxsocsci
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https://twitter.com/UniofOxford/status/1118087584901664769


https://twitter.com/UniofOxford/status/1114437844536373249
https://twitter.com/UniofOxford/status/1114171544719302657


https://twitter.com/UniofOxford/status/1113109280687865857


UK Vol.132 (Post-EUref #Brexit Vol.50)


https://twitter.com/EU_Commission/status/1116151666527625216
https://twitter.com/EU_Commission/status/1116132906798387200


https://twitter.com/dw_europe/status/1116035977590530048


https://twitter.com/HouseofCommons/status/1116004754193252358


https://twitter.com/EUCouncil/status/1116008254881050625
—-
https://twitter.com/Politics_Oxford/status/1113066807601004545


https://twitter.com/EBRD/status/1115918674685198336


UK Vol.131 (Post-EUref #Brexit Vol.49)


https://twitter.com/OpenEurope/status/1113082204480065539


https://twitter.com/VladimirFarage/status/1114482407284125696
https://twitter.com/IceAgeFarmer/status/1114601796226260992


https://twitter.com/fiannafailparty/status/1112641901205827584


UK Vol.130 (Post-EUref #Brexit Vol.48)


https://twitter.com/EU_Commission/status/1113498594441609222


https://twitter.com/EPPGroup/status/1110860356237357057


Pinned tweets, etc.

UK Vol.129 (Post-EUref #Brexit Vol.47: Bank of England)

For the United States, you can search by putting each state’s name or “US Policy Changes” into the search box.

For European Union, you can check out
http://worldsolutions.work/tag/eu/ .

For Brexit, the United Kingdom, Ireland, Canada, Australia, New Zealand, etc., you can search by putting each of these words into the search box, or check out categories and tags.


UK Vol.128 (Post-EUref #Brexit Vol.46)


Ireland Vol.40 (St. Patrick’s Day 2019 Vol.4: Miscellaneous, United Kingdom)


https://twitter.com/should_make/status/1106958677678977024
https://twitter.com/markwahlberg/status/1107370292165464064


https://twitter.com/GSarafan/status/1107425248591470592


UK


UK Vol.127 (Post-EUref #Brexit Vol.45)


https://twitter.com/UKParliament/status/1106226166816489472


https://twitter.com/iealondon/status/1105900477982691328


https://twitter.com/iealondon/status/1105753258113552384


https://twitter.com/MRJKilcoyne/status/1105754542598164480


UK Vol.126 (Post-EUref #Brexit Vol.44)

UK white UnlimitedDownload
3 points concerning Brexit which have not been confronted in the media etc. – especially outside the United Kingdom and the Republic of Ireland


https://twitter.com/UKLabour/status/1085294303033798657

https://twitter.com/tictoc/status/1085401336588439553


https://twitter.com/French_Gov/status/1067422290541973504

British Foreign Policy – Post Brexit (w Video; 05/04/2018) | @CFR_org


Free papers, reports, et al. Vol.49 (paper.li January 2018 – January 2019 Vol.2)


California Vol.17 (UCSD)

California18 UCSDCalifornia17 UC econ_impactCalifornia15 UCSDneesCalifornia16 UCSD-UW