World Vol.32

The US Is Officially in Recession Thanks to The Corona Virus Crisis (06/16/2020) | Jeffrey Frankel @guardian
… Readers are often surprised to learn that the task of declaring a recession in the US falls to a panel of economists who consider a wide variety of indicators. Most other advanced economies, after all, define a recession as simply two consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth. But the US isn’t the only country to go beyond the two-quarters rule. The Japanese government also considers other indicators in its official business-cycle chronology. And private committees in other domains – including the eurozone, Canada, Spain, and Brazil – date business cycles by looking at a wider variety of economic indicators, though without garnering as much attention from the media or official government bodies. …
Keller @ Large: Harvard Economist Warns Of Roller Coaster Economy (w Video; 05/14/2020) | @wbz
The Briefing Room – Coronavirus and the Economy (Radio; 07/05/2020) | @BBC
Deregulate for the coronavirus recovery: The Office of Information and Regulatory Affairs should think hard about which rules to enforce. (0503/2020) | Adam J. White @WSJ
Harvard’s Reinhart and Rogoff Say This Time Really Is Different: The professors, whose 2009 book showed that financial crises often follow similar patterns, spoke to us about what’s happening in 2020. (05/18/2020) | Simon Kennedy @markets
Firms won’t give up on globalization but will ‘redesign’ supply chains: Trade expert (Video; 06/12/2020) | Robert Lawrence @BNNBloomberg
Evaluating the success of President Johnson’s War on Poverty: Revisiting the historical record using a full-income poverty measure (w PDFs; 12/09/2019) | Richard Burkhauser, Kevin C. Corinth, James Elwell, Jeff Larrimore @AEI
3 charts showing good news about American wage growth (01/07/2020) | James Pethokoukis @AEI
The ‘new normal’: Thoughts about the shape of things to come in the post-pandemic world (04/19/2020) | Nicholas Eberstadt @NBRnews
A Seven-Point Checklist for Reopening the Economy: There will be setbacks, and Congress has to commit to propping up the economy over the long term. (04/15/2020) | Michael R. Strain @bpolitics
First, acknowledge that the shutdown was the right thing to do. …
Then the U.S. needs to decide what its goals are
policy makers need to be comfortable discussing the trade-off between lives and economic outcomes. …
The fourth principle: The U.S. will need to act without having all the necessary information. …
A regional opening strategy can depend on governors. …
The sixth principle is to accept the ebbs and flows of progress. …
Finally, Congress should be prepared to continue its attempts to rescue the economy over the longer term. …
National Digital Currencies: The Future of Money? (06/2020) | Aditi Kumar, Jeremy Ney, Eve Lee, Victor Ji @BelferCenter
The City-Sized Hole in U.S. GPS Planning (w PDF; 11/21/2019) | @BelferCenter
Privacy and the four categories of information technology (w PDF; 05/26/2020) | Jim Harper @AEI
The coronavirus could imperil Putin’s presidency: Russia entered the crisis with a stagnant economy, and its oil-price war with the Saudis isn’t helping. (04/23/2020) | Leon Aron @WSJ
Oil’s Collapse Is a Geopolitical Reset In Disguise (04/29/2020) | Meghan L. O’Sullivan @bopinion
Russia’s Stock Market Rallies But Still Not a Source of Long-Term Capital (12/12/2019) | Ben Aris @russia_matters
In Depth with Yuval Levin: Author and American Enterprise Institute scholar Yuval Levin talked about U.S. political history and the political divide in the country today. He’s the author of “The Great Debate,” “The Fractured Republic,’ and “A Time to Build.” (Video; 06/07/2020) | @cspan
Three Americas and the pandemic, Part III: Small cities, towns, and the countryside (06/09/2020) | Charles Murray @AEI
Biden’s Bad Foreign-Policy Ideas: The former vice president lacks a consistent philosophy of when and how to use military force. (06/07/2020) | Kori Schake @TheAtlantic
What Policymakers Should Ask Modelers (04/21/2020) | Afreen Siddiqi, Kaveri Iychettira @ProSyn
How Will COVID-19 Affect the Transatlantic Relationship? (05/01/2020) | Nicholas Burns, Cathryn Clüver Ashbrook, David E. Sanger, Amanda Sloat, Torrey Taussig @BelferCenter
The World’s Weakest Strongman (06/06/2020) | Stephen M. Walt @ForeignPolicy
The United States Forgot Its Strategy for Winning Cold Wars (05/05/2020) | Stephen M. Walt @ForeignPolicy
Will a Global Depression Trigger Another World War? (05/13/2020) | Stephen M. Walt @ForeignPolicy
No, the Coronavirus Will Not Change the Global Order: We should be skeptical toward claims that the pandemic changes everything. China won’t benefit, and the United States will remain preeminent. (04/16/2020) | Joseph S. Nye @ForeignPolicy
American Exceptionalism in the Age of Trump (06/05/2020) | Joseph S. Nye @ProSyn
So Do Morals Matter in U.S. Foreign Policy? I Asked the Expert. (04/24/2020) | Joseph S. Nye @washingtonpost
How COVID-19 is Testing American Leadership (04/26/2020) | Joseph S. Nye @east_asia_forum
Breaking the Ice: How France and the UK Could Reshape a Credible European Defense and Renew the Transatlantic Partnership (w PDF; 05/2020) | Adrien Abecassis, Jolyon Howorth @BelferCenter
A divided Europe’s China challenge (26/11/2019) | Philippe Le Corre @east_asia_forum
“Maxwell Taylor’s Cold War: From Berlin to Vietnam” by Ingo Trauschweizer (05/2020) | Nathaniel L. Moir @ Michigan War Studies Review
Niall Ferguson: ‘Now We Are in Cold War II’ (04/28/2020) | @ekathimerini
Donald Trump Could Lose the Election by Authorizing a New Nuclear Weapons Test (06/23/2020) | Stephen Herzog, Benoît Pelopidas, Jonathon Baron, Fabrício Fialho @TheNatlInterest
Why Israel’s annexation of parts of the West Bank would be a historic mistake (06/22/2020) | Tzipi Livni @washingtonpost
Tzipi Livni is a former minister of foreign affairs for Israel.
South China Sea of troubles: In 2020 the world should pay more attention to the South China Sea (11/2019) | Oriana Skylar Mastro @TheEconomist
Russian jokes tell the brutal truth: In a repressive society, dark political jokes allow regular people to describe what they see with their own eyes. (11/29/2019) | Leon Aron @TheAtlantic
Who ‘Defeated’ ISIS? An Analysis of US and Russian Contributions (05/06/2020) | Domitilla Sagramoso @russia_matters
The decline of religion in American family life: Findings from the November 2019 American Perspectives Survey (12/11/2019) | Daniel A. Cox, Jacqueline Clemence, Eleanor O’Neil @AEI
How States Like Virginia Go Blue (11/08/2020) | Matthew Continetti @FreeBeacon
… President Trump so dominates the popular imagination that every election result is described in relation to his job approval and conduct in office. … But the story of this particular Democratic winning streak is less about Trump than it is about long-running demographic and cultural transformation. He catalyzed changes decades in the making. …
One reason why UI benefit payments remain low: The lingering effects of Obama-era stimulus policies (11/26/2019) | Matt Weidinger @AEI

World Vol.31

Australia Vol.26 (University of Queensland)

Australia Vol.23 (corporations)


Australia Vol.22 (corporations)


Australia Vol.21 (corporations)

Australia Vol.20 (corporations)

New Zealand Vol.19 (University of Otago, Victoria University of Wellington, Auckland University of Technology)

Canada Vol.29 (think tanks, universities)

New Zealand Vol.18 (government, organisations, etc.)


France Vol.14 (think tanks, banks)

Australia Vol.19 (think tanks, banks)

Alabama Vol.7 (incl #coronavirus) / Mississippi Vol.6 (incl #coronavirus)

World Vol.24 (incl #coronavirus)

Nebraska Vol.4 (#coronavirus) / Kansas Vol.6 (#coronavirus)

World Vol.23 (incl #coronavirus)

World Vol.22 (incl #coronavirus)

Missouri Vol.11 (incl #coronavirus) / Arkansas Vol.7 (incl #coronavirus) / Oklahoma Vol.8 (incl #coronavirus) / Utah Vol.6 (incl #coronavirus)

Northern Europe Vol.2 (incl #coronavirus)

World Vol.20 (#coronavirus)

COVID-19 Digital Resources (03/27/2020) | @BelferCenter
Cologne Sanitizer, Boxed Wine and Bidets: How People in 68 Countries Are Coping With Coronavirus (03/22/2020) | Amanda Sloat @POLITICO
It’s Ok for China to Harm the World in Order to Save It? (04/09/2020) | Niall Ferguson @ Jewish World Review @BelferCenter
Daniel Hoffman: The coronavirus challenge – staying connected while keeping your distance (03/23/2020) | @FoxNews @BelferCenter
Questions from Quarantine: New Mask Guidelines,
Reinfection Potential, and Quarantine Tips (Video; 04/07/2020) | Juliette Kayyem, Margaret Bourdeaux, Tara Tyrrell @BelferCenter

Coronavirus reveals the vulnerable nature of our medical supply chain (04/07/2020) | Mike Rogers @TheHill
How countries like Germany handle unemployment caused by coronavirus (Video; 04/07/2020) | Cathryn Clüver Ashbrook @CNBC
Ignore bad information from Russia and China on the coronavirus crisis (03/27/2020) | @RepMikeRogers @TheHill
Cost Effectiveness Analysis and Finding the Best Policies to Fight COVID-19 (04/03/2020) | Robert N. Stavins @BelferCenter
What Economics Can Say about an Effective Response to the Coronavirus (04/02/2020) | Robert N. Stavins, Scott Barrett @ResourcesMag @BelferCenter
Our Response to 9/11 Gave us Lessons for COVID-19 (04/06/2020) | Norman Roule @thecipherbrief
The 1889 influenza (“Asiatic flu” or “Russian flu”); The 1918-1919 H1N1 influenza (“The Spanish Flu”); Psittacosis (“Parrot Fever”); The 1949-1952 Poliomyelitis pandemic (Polio); The 1956-1958 H2N2 virus (“The Asian Flu”); The 1968 Influenza A subtype H3NS virus (“The Hong Kong Flu”); The 1981-present Human Immunodeficiency Virus and Acquired Immune Deficiency Syndrome (HIV/AIDS); the 2002-2003 Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome virus (SARS)
The 2009-2010 H1N1 novel influenza virus (Swine Flu); The 2012 Middle East Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus (MERS) …
Spies Are Fighting a Shadow War Against the Coronavirus (04/03/2020) | Calder Walton @ForeignPolicy @BelferCenter
How Digital Service Teams are Responding to Covid-19
(03/31/2020) | David Eaves @apoliticalco @BelferCenter

Trump Bets Business Will Answer Call to Fight Virus, but Strategy Bewilders Firms (03/22/2020) | David E. Sanger, Ana Swanson, Maggie Haberman @nytimes @BelferCenter
How Treasury should implement loans to large businesses (04/10/2020) | Michael R. Strain, R. Glenn Hubbard @AEI
How the World Will Look After the Coronavirus Pandemic
(03/20/2020) | Nicholas Burns, Joseph S. Nye, Stephen M. Walt @ForeignPolicy @BelferCenter

The coronavirus is a test of our national character
(03/20/2020) | David Ignatius @washingtonpost

… It’s likely that for a generation, the United States and China will both be better prepared for outbreaks of disease and other disasters. There will be better early-warning systems, better stockpiles of equipment, better vaccines and more resilient supply chains. Public health professionals will know more and have greater credibility when they make recommendations.
…broad benchmarking of the United States and its main adversary was the initial mission of the Office of Net Assessment when it was chartered by President Richard M. Nixon. Under its legendary founder, Andrew Marshall…
Marshall’s group, with its sharper analytical lens, was one of the first to see that the Soviet Union was much weaker economically and politically than conventional analysis suggested. …
Why odds of a coronavirus recession have risen – Jeffrey Frankel cites domino effect of problems in China, huge U.S. deficit, likely decline in jobs and spending (03/17/2020) | Liz Mineo @ Harvard Gazette
… According to a rule sometimes used by the IMF, a world recession is when the global growth rate is less than 2.5 percent. Global growth doesn’t turn negative often. It happened in the global financial crisis of 2008 and 2009. Back then, Europe, Japan, and the U.S. went into prolonged negative growth. …
A recession is defined as a fall in economic activity; fall in GDP, income, employment, and output. There are two kinds of recessions, in terms of the cause: One is the result of an adverse supply shock, and the other is the result of an adverse demand shock. In an adverse supply shock, the fall in GDP is accompanied by an increase in prices… the problem in a supply shock is that the firms can’t produce what’s already being ordered or bought, because the worker is staying home or because their production process is dependent on some intermediate input or part that is produced somewhere else, which has been interrupted. … There was a negative demand shock, with people cutting back on spending because they didn’t have the money to spend.
In this type of recession, both monetary stimulus and fiscal stimulus can be useful because they give people money to spend. …
…paid sick leave, free testing, extension of unemployment insurance and food stamps. But the most important provision is funding for public health. …
I see certain parallels between the coronavirus crisis and the 2008 financial crisis and the 2001 Sept. 11 terrorist attack. … In each case, there were experts who had written memos and reports about precisely those possibilities, but the messages didn’t get through. …
COVID-19 Pandemic Accelerates the Rise of Digital
Payments (03/20/2020) | Juergen Braunstein, Marion Laboure, Sachin Silva @TheEconomist @BelferCenter

Brian Ross Investigates — The Coronavirus: Who Do You Trust (YouTube; 02/27/2020) | @LawCrimeNetwork
Crisis Reader: Biosecurity and the Global COVID-19 Outbreak (02/27/2020) | @BelferCenter
Worst-case scenarios: Crisis management in a chaotic world (w Voice & Transcript; 02/25/2020) | @Kennedy_School
The Collateral Damage of the Coronavirus (02/19/2020) | Juliette Kayyem, Margaret Bourdeaux, Vanessa Kerry, Annmarie Sasdi @BostonGlobe @BelferCenter
The United States Can Still Win the Coronavirus Pandemic (04/03/2020) | Stephen M. Walt @ForeignPolicy @BelferCenter
The Realist’s Guide to the Coronavirus Outbreak (03/09/2020) | Stephen M. Walt @ForeignPolicy @BelferCenter
Nicholas Burns on BBC World News (03/26/2020) | @BelferCenter
The crisis Congress – What is the legislature’s job in a national emergency? (04/02/2020) | Yuval Levin, Adam J. White @NRO @AEI
Washington’s response to the virus – In our society, not everything has to be coordinated from above. (03/06/2020) | Yuval Levin @NRO @AEI
China’s deadly coronavirus-lie co-conspirator — the World Health Organization (04/03/2020) | Dan Blumenthal, Nicholas Everstadt @nypost @AEI
China After Coronavirus – Should We Ever Trust Beijing Again? (04/08/2020) | Daniel Hoffman @FoxNews @BelferCenter
Russia Is Well-Positioned to Weather COVID-19’s Economic Fallout (04/09/2020) | Chris Weafer @russia_matters
Send in the Marines? Not to fight coronavirus – The Pentagon isn’t geared toward taking the lead in a domestic health crisis, and having it do so would be bad for democracy. (03/18/2020) | Kori Schake @bopinion @AEI
Opinion: Why you should think of the coronavirus crisis and the global financial crisis as part of the same story (03/24/2020) | Josh Lipsky @MarketWatch @BelferCenter
Strong competition among US airlines before COVID-19 pandemic (03/18/2020) | Scott Ganz @AEI
Confronting COVID-19: A Conversation with Columbia
University Professor Scott Barrett (Voice & Transcript; 03/27/2020) | @BelferCenter

American hospitals can avoid Italy’s fate – Deploy telemedicine to determine who needs emergency care, waive licensing rules and more. (03/17/2020) | @ScottGottliebMD @WSJ @AEI
Former FDA chief & Harvard professor: Take smart steps to slow spread of the coronavirus (03/06/2020) | @ScottGottliebMD @USATODAY @AEI
Are we prepared? Protecting the US from global
pandemics (02/12/2020) | @ScottGottliebMD @AEI

Op-ed: We need to prepare for US outbreak of Wuhan coronavirus (01/27/2020) | @ScottGottliebMD @CNBC
Russia-Saudi Relationship Is a Coronavirus Casualty
(03/10/2020) | Meghan L. O’Sullivan @bopinion

How Hackers and Spies Could Sabotage the Coronavirus Fight (02/28/2020) | @ForeignPolicy @BelferCenter
So What Should I Do About Coronavirus Now? (02/26/2020) | Josh Barro @intelligencer
Kevin Rudd: COVID-19 Outbreak & Lessons from 2008 Financial Collapse (03/13/2020) | @gzeromedia
The COVID-19 Cash Out (03/19/2020) | Juergen Braunstein, Marion Laboure, Sachin Silva @ProSyn @BelferCenter
As COVID-19 Outbreak Worsens So Does Economic Volatility (w Voice & Transcript; 03/17/2020) | @NPR
(03/26/2020) | Joseph S. Nye, Jr. @WarOnTheRocks

We don’t have to destroy the Constitution to take on coronavirus – Congress shouldn’t concede more power to Trump (or any other president). That’s the last thing we need. (03/25/2020) | Gregory S. Weiner @nytimes @BelferCenter
European Elections In a Time of Coronavirus (03/20/2020) | Amanda Sloat @LawFare
The Coronavirus Is Iran’s Perfect Storm (03/18/2020) | Djavad Salehi-Isfahani @ForeignAffairs @BelferCenter
Arab leaders were already incompetent, then came coronavirus (20/03/2020) | Rami G. Khouri @The_NewArab
A Future of Work That Complements Family Life | Abby McCloskey, Angela Rachidi @FamStudies @AEI
Coronavirus will test whether the planet can unite in the face of a global crisis (02/26/2020) | David Ignatius @washingtonpost
The Case for a Big Coronavirus Stimulus – Congress should send you $1,000 — and another $500 for each of your children — as soon as possible. (03/05/2020) | Jason Furman @WSJ

World Vol.19 (incl #coronavirus)

Alaska Vol.8 (state, etc.)


World Vol.18 (incl #coronavirus)